Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.194488 0.273299 0.362160 0.467568 0.587263 0.717315 0.867773
2025-11-02 0.089557 0.184372 0.309333 0.473998 0.676022 0.908612 1.190338
2025-11-09 0.033379 0.116814 0.248314 0.438870 0.687143 0.984797 1.356200
2025-11-16 0.006113 0.067207 0.193861 0.398543 0.681638 1.033780 1.484512
2025-11-23 0.000063 0.041838 0.165302 0.385492 0.704672 1.112499 1.643823
2025-11-30 NaN 0.029301 0.153897 0.394271 0.754539 1.223257 1.840984
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017349 0.136537 0.389791 0.783610 1.305805 2.002174
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007338 0.114013 0.371974 0.790813 1.358030 2.124128
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005864 0.118364 0.401656 0.867301 1.501558 2.361139
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004749 0.123212 0.432075 0.944900 1.646706 2.600455
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002791 0.121005 0.448366 1.001008 1.763060 2.803265
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002848 0.131316 0.489334 1.094749 1.930207 3.071114
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002198 0.136818 0.522856 1.180541 2.091171 3.337136
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000627 0.129273 0.529779 1.226080 2.198826 3.536599
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.102592 0.492462 1.200564 2.208271 3.608599
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.076653 0.449557 1.162551 2.198237 3.653658
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.064522 0.435641 1.169486 2.249118 3.776655
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.061619 0.445002 1.214845 2.353861 3.970230
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.054184 0.440226 1.235735 2.423707 4.117748
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.043045 0.421214 1.230956 2.456303 4.215584
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.047799 0.452872 1.314657 2.615913 4.482099
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.052793 0.485245 1.399650 2.777472 4.751345
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053138 0.502556 1.458340 2.901354 4.970711